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SSB Brawl Prediction Competition!Topic%20Title
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e × e = e²

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Fans have been jittery with excitement since the unveiling of the smashbros.com, predicting updates and making wishlists like madmen! With Super Smash Bros Brawl looming on the horizon, this activity is rising to a fever pitch! So to lessen the pressure, why not make a game out of it?

Yes! To participate in this game, all you need to do is submit your predictions for each week! Predict not only what kind of updates we will see that week, but also in what order they will appear! You earn points for making accurate predictions. See below for detailed instructions on how tickets work.

Please send me your tickets via PM or email. All prediction tickets are due at 11:00PM Pacific Time on the Sunday of that week. Any tickets received after that time will be invalid and the owner ineligible to earn points for that week's predictions.

The points earned each week are added to the grand total, and the grand prize winner(s) will be announced when Super Smash Bros Brawl is released stateside, or when SmashBros.com stops giving updates. And what's the grand prize?
GRAND PRIZE: A large full color illustration, by me, featuring one character per grand prize winner locked in mortal Smash combat! (There will be one picture if there are multiple winners, but each gets one character) (Grand prize characters must follow normal Smash character conventions: they must have featured on a Nintendo console at some point!)

Spoiler: "How Prediction Tickets Work"
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As you can see, a ticket consists of three predictions. Each prediction can be one of three types: Character, Item, or Miscellaneous (Music, Stage, How to Play, Game Modes). You don't need to predict which specific game or character will be represented, only what kind of update will appear! There are several possible "winning hands" with each ticket, with assigned point values.
  • 1 - Pair: Two consecutive updates.
  • 2 - Two Pair: Two consecutive updates, and two other consecutive updates.
  • 3 - Straight: All three consecutive updates.
  • 2 - Pair Flush: Two consecutive updates of the same type.
  • 6 - Straight Flush: Three consecutive updates of the same type.
  • 4 - Pair Flush inside Straight: Three consecutive updates, two of which were a Pair Flush.
On the right side of the picture is an example diagram of October 1-5, with all possible "winning hands" for that week listed below. You'd be a happy camper if you scored that Pair Flush inside a Straight!

Because the predictions need to be consecutive, it will limit the number of combinations each week. Updates are read from "bottom up" on the website in case there is a day with multiple updates.
Each ticket is only valid the week it is cast, and is only valid for one instance of a "hand." If you score for a Pair, you cannot score for that same Pair again (but you can score for a Two Pair). Straights supersede Pairs, naturally.

The reason several categories were condensed into one was to increase simplicity and to stack "rarity" of certain updates together.



THE GRAND TOTAL SCOREBOARD
  • Gigafreak: 7
  • Magmar's Fury: 6
  • Tinker: 5
  • Bleachlover* 5
  • Attorney Proto: 2

There's still room for more.
*Late entry.


Individual Week Scores
October 15 - 19: Misc-Misc-Misc-Item-Item-Char
  • Attorney Proto: +2
  • GigaFreak: +4
  • Magmar's Fury: +2
  • Tinker: +1
October 22 - 26: Misc-Misc-Misc-Char-Char
  • Attorney Proto: --
  • Bleachlover: +2
  • GigaFreak: --
  • Magmar's Fury: +4
  • Tinker: +2
October 29 - November 2: Misc-Misc-Misc-Char-Misc
  • GigaFreak: +2
  • Magmar's Fury: --
  • Tinker: +1
November 5 - 9: Misc-Misc-Item-Misc-Item-Char-Misc
  • Bleachlover: +3
  • GigaFreak: +1
  • Tinker: +1

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Last edited by MoronSonOfBoron on Fri Nov 09, 2007 9:05 am, edited 17 times in total.
Re: SSB Brawl Prediction Competition!Topic%20Title
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Mighty Pirate, really!

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Um, maybe I'm stupid and/or don't bet enough, but this doesn't make any sense. Are we making a prediction set for the entire two months this contest is up? And do you mean characters as in just characters, or Final Smashes and abilities?
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Re: SSB Brawl Prediction Competition!Topic%20Title
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e × e = e²

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The "tickets" are set up much like the betting tickets at a race track. Think of each week as a single "race" and the three predicted updates as the horses that come in first, second and third (In this case, they don't need to be "first," but they do need to be in that order!). Your winnings are higher for being more accurate with your predictions.

So you make a new prediction ticket for each week. If we start predicting next week, there would be a total of 7 rounds of predictions and scoring.

The grand prize winners can specify as much as they like about the character, so long as it's enough to make them part of the drawing (I can't feasibly feature their entire moveset into a single scene!).
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Re: SSB Brawl Prediction Competition!Topic%20Title
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Prufursurnkfa fushcatchurrr

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How detailed should it be? Like, "Item", or "Item from Star Fox", or "Barrel Roll Shouter Item from Star Fox"?
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Re: SSB Brawl Prediction Competition!Topic%20Title
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e × e = e²

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You just have to specify whether it's an Item, Character, or Misc update.
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Re: SSB Brawl Prediction Competition!Topic%20Title
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Hot stuff

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Joined: Tue Feb 27, 2007 6:01 am

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How fun! :D I can't wait to start predicting.
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Re: SSB Brawl Prediction Competition!Topic%20Title
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Mighty Pirate, really!

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Location: Insert Funny Location Here, Am Busy

Rank: Medium-in-training

Joined: Fri Apr 13, 2007 8:30 am

Posts: 336

How's it work when, like today's update, there are two of them, leading to more than five in the end of the week? Just more chance to score points?
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Re: SSB Brawl Prediction Competition!Topic%20Title
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Prufursurnkfa fushcatchurrr

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Yup.
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Re: SSB Brawl Prediction Competition!Topic%20Title
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e × e = e²

Gender: Male

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Joined: Wed May 02, 2007 8:17 pm

Posts: 2289

Except for a Two Pair and a Pair Flush in Straight, you can't earn points for more than one hand. That said, when I tally points at the end of the week you'll earn points for your highest winning hand.

I was considering running this thing in another forum at the same time with the help of my brother, but he has yet to respond. I'll be moving ahead with this before the weekend regardless.

Last edited by MoronSonOfBoron on Fri Oct 12, 2007 12:11 am, edited 1 time in total.
Re: SSB Brawl Prediction Competition!Topic%20Title
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e × e = e²

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Joined: Wed May 02, 2007 8:17 pm

Posts: 2289

Predictions for October 15-19 are now open!
Please PM or email me your prediction tickets for that week. All tickets are due 11PM Pacific Time on the 14th. If you don't join now, you may not win enough points to get the prize!

Because of the delayed release date, there may be some changes to prize allotment. More details soon.
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Re: SSB Brawl Prediction Competition!Topic%20Title
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What a Day. . .

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Sounds fun, I'll take a whack at it.
Re: SSB Brawl Prediction Competition!Topic%20Title
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e × e = e²

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It's October 14th! Have you sent in your prediction ticket yet? If you don't submit it by 11PM Pacific time, you won't be eligible to score points for this week's predictions!

Last edited by MoronSonOfBoron on Mon Oct 15, 2007 3:49 am, edited 1 time in total.
Re: SSB Brawl Prediction Competition!Topic%20Title
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e × e = e²

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It appears people are unclear on the rules.

You don't have to predict whether it'll be a Pokemon item, an AT, or a specific character. Just say whether it'll be an item update, or a character update, or anything else.
You only need to make a string of three predictions, in whatever order. They are not specific to any days in the week.


That said, those who sent in tickets with a "Mon, Tue, Wed, etc" format to me will have the first three updates they listed taken as their ticket for this week.

An example prediction:
Item, Char, Misc - Means that a string of updates will show up in this order, regardless of what day in the week it appears and regardless of what the updates themselves are. (The first update could be a new item, a Pokemon, an AT, anything Item-related; the second could be a new character, or a character's new moveset or feature)
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Re: SSB Brawl Prediction Competition!Topic%20Title
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I predict a character.
Don't mind me, just passing through.
Re: SSB Brawl Prediction Competition!Topic%20Title
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e × e = e²

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I predict more people unable to make proper prediction submissions because my rules are TLDR.

OH WELL.
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Re: SSB Brawl Prediction Competition!Topic%20Title
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Very well here...
Don't mind me, just passing through.
Re: SSB Brawl Prediction Competition!Topic%20Title
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Prufursurnkfa fushcatchurrr

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Bleachlover wrote:
Very well here...


Do you have a program that randomly generates posts for you?
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Re: SSB Brawl Prediction Competition!Topic%20Title
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Umm. no, I was just saying that I pm'ed him, using very little words apparently, I messed up the first time, I hope I did it right the second time.
Don't mind me, just passing through.
Re: SSB Brawl Prediction Competition!Topic%20Title
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e × e = e²

Gender: Male

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Joined: Wed May 02, 2007 8:17 pm

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End results for October 15 - 19:
  • MISC: New Pork City
  • MISC: Home Run Contest
  • MISC: How to use the Wiimote
  • ITEM: Meowth
  • ITEM: Little Mac
  • CHAR: Peach's Final Smash

Scores for October 15 - 19:
  • Attorney Proto: +2
  • GigaFreak: +4
  • Magmar's Fury: +2
  • Tinker: +1

Remember to send in your predictions for October 22-26! All tickets due at 11PM PST on the 21st.
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Re: SSB Brawl Prediction Competition!Topic%20Title
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Hot stuff

Gender: Male

Location: VA

Rank: Decisive Witness

Joined: Tue Feb 27, 2007 6:01 am

Posts: 186

Wow, this week was a total snooze fest and unpredictable at best. Hopefully next week will be more predictable. :D
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Re: SSB Brawl Prediction Competition!Topic%20Title
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Prufursurnkfa fushcatchurrr

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Get your tickets in, folks :3
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Re: SSB Brawl Prediction Competition!Topic%20Title
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There probably going to announce the most shocking thing yet: Classic mode! *shock* *gasp*
If you are reading this, then you're not illiterate.
Re: SSB Brawl Prediction Competition!Topic%20Title
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e × e = e²

Gender: Male

Location: God Less America

Rank: Ace Attorney

Joined: Wed May 02, 2007 8:17 pm

Posts: 2289

End results for October 22 - 26:
  • MISC: PictoChat
  • MISC: Donkey Kong Makes His Stand
  • MISC: Target Smash
  • CHAR: King Dedede
  • CHAR: King Dedede Special Attacks

Scores for October 22 - 26:
  • Attorney Proto: --
  • Bleachlover: +2
  • GigaFreak: --
  • Magmar's Fury: +4
  • Tinker: +2

Remember to send in your predictions for October 29 - November 2! All tickets due at 11PM PST on the 28th.
Re: SSB Brawl Prediction Competition!Topic%20Title
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e × e = e²

Gender: Male

Location: God Less America

Rank: Ace Attorney

Joined: Wed May 02, 2007 8:17 pm

Posts: 2289

End results for October 29 - November 2:
  • MISC: Stage Builder
  • MISC: Classic Mode
  • MISC: The Summit
  • CHAR: Meta Knight's Galaxia Darkness
  • MISC: Character Entrances

Scores for October 29 - November 2:
  • GigaFreak: +2
  • Magmar's Fury: --
  • Tinker: +1

Remember to send in your predictions for November 5 - 9! All tickets due at 11PM PST on the 4th.
Re: SSB Brawl Prediction Competition!Topic%20Title
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e × e = e²

Gender: Male

Location: God Less America

Rank: Ace Attorney

Joined: Wed May 02, 2007 8:17 pm

Posts: 2289

End results for November 5 - 9:
  • MISC: Fire Emblem Theme
    MISC: Fox's Misfortune
    ITEM: Items from Previous Installments
    MISC: Grab and Throw
    ITEM: Gray Fox
    CHAR: Lucas - Special Moves
    MISC: Norfair

Scores for November 5 - 9:
  • Bleachlover: +3
  • GigaFreak: +1
  • Tinker: +1

Remember to send in your predictions for November 12 - 16! All tickets due at 10PM PST on the 11th.
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Re: SSB Brawl Prediction Competition!Topic%20Title
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Posts: 2739

All right five points. Great!!
Don't mind me, just passing through.
Re: SSB Brawl Prediction Competition!Topic%20Title
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e × e = e²

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Location: God Less America

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Joined: Wed May 02, 2007 8:17 pm

Posts: 2289

Just a note: my motherboard suffered a malfunction last week and I won't be able to repair it until next week, and without access to my hard drive I was unable to do updates for this. Fear not! I'll be getting it in order soon.
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