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Re: (Day Two) Living Thread: Payne's Worst Game of MafiaTopic%20Title
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Quote:
I'm not saying to ignore inactives. It's fine to encourage them to post. I don't even see a problem with voting for them to get them to participate. But Pierre went further than that on D1 and consistently kept his vote on me, basically saying "Oh well, this is what D1 is like. It sucks lol"


Actually in all 2 of my Mafia games, I pulled out my 'inactive' vote once I was satisfied. For a while the vote stuck on you because Franzise made quite the point about you. Then Bluejay got suspiciously bloodthirsty and as you pointed out contradictory. If you had been active and no one had built a case against you after I initiated a vote then I'd have retracted my vote and placed it on Sumguy or Cesar.

I'd like to know your reason for the sudden change of heart on Franzise at the moment.


Quote:
I don't think anything will happen next round. Since we can't no-lynch two days in a row, I don't see why scum wouldn't just not kill anyone again (though while I think I'm an unlikely candidate for the nightkill since I'm suspicious, I also think it's possible that scum could kill to prevent me from claiming victory at a later time)

Basically what I'm saying is that I don't think no-lynching this round is gonna help us for the next round because I don't think scum will kill anyone. So, I do think the best bet is for me to claim victory

If I claim victory and die, will you vote for someone to lynch or will you still no-lynch?

The Mafia are under the same circumstances as we are. They cannot no-hit for two rounds in a row. Which means they NEED to initiate a hit this round or they auto-forfeit. That's why I'd rather you hold off. If you go now and you are right, great the game is over. If you are wrong we are a man down AND they kill another of us in the night.

If you hold off until tomorrow, we might win in the night by virtue of them not-hitting or if they do kill someone then it's confirmed the game is still on and there's no need for any glorious sacrifices. It's basically a pointless sacrifice if you declare victory now when sitting still will confirm all we need.

So sit tight for now and pray to see tomorrow.
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Re: (Day Two) Living Thread: Payne's Worst Game of MafiaTopic%20Title
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Pierre wrote:
I'd like to know your reason for the sudden change of heart on Franzise at the moment.

Not much, she just explained her reasoning that I thought made her very suspicious (I mixed up the order of events in my mind. I thought her asking people for their roles was what prompted me to give my vague-claim answer, not the other way around)

And I had forgotten that mafia can't no-hit for two days in a row
Re: (Day Two) Living Thread: Payne's Worst Game of MafiaTopic%20Title
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JesusMonroe wrote:
Pierre wrote:
I'd like to know your reason for the sudden change of heart on Franzise at the moment.

Not much, she just explained her reasoning that I thought made her very suspicious (I mixed up the order of events in my mind. I thought her asking people for their roles was what prompted me to give my vague-claim answer, not the other way around)

And I had forgotten that mafia can't no-hit for two days in a row


Well you are clear in my book for now. There's a few things that could be happening but I'm just amazingly paranoid...or psychic if I'm right.

Declaring victory shows you were on the side of the Town, you could have maybe planned for when Geno wasn't online (and therefore couldn't register it) and tried to undeclare all along but there's too many variables and uncertainties about the process. Geno would have been well within their rights to just kill you after your declaration as there's nothing saying you could get out, in fact the only thing that let you live was the time it took Geno to come back otherwise I imagine it could have been instantaneous.

Unless you accounted for ALL that.

You are town.

Alternatively you could be a Maf who doesn't care about winning anymore and just wants to screw everything up for the Townies by outing yourself from the game early and leaving them to bicker in paranoia about how the Maf is.

So yeah, Sumguy is on my lynch list for future, but not today.
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Re: (Day Two) Living Thread: Payne's Worst Game of MafiaTopic%20Title
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Pierre wrote:
JesusMonroe wrote:
Pierre wrote:
I'd like to know your reason for the sudden change of heart on Franzise at the moment.

Not much, she just explained her reasoning that I thought made her very suspicious (I mixed up the order of events in my mind. I thought her asking people for their roles was what prompted me to give my vague-claim answer, not the other way around)

And I had forgotten that mafia can't no-hit for two days in a row


Declaring victory shows you were on the side of the Town, you could have maybe planned for when Geno wasn't online (and therefore couldn't register it) and tried to undeclare all along but there's too many variables and uncertainties about the process. Geno would have been well within their rights to just kill you after your declaration as there's nothing saying you could get out, in fact the only thing that let you live was the time it took Geno to come back otherwise I imagine it could have been instantaneous.


Oh, uh... yeah, about that. I should clarify, because I don't want the rules of the game to be misunderstood. When I said that declaring victory was "like a vote", I meant that it had the same properties as a vote. Multiple people (even from the same faction) can declare victory at the same time, and may rescind that declaration at any time. Thus, one may declare and un-declare victory several times in the same phase (please don't), and only the state of victory declarations at the end of the phase is counted. This is why there is no hammer function in the game.

My apologies for any confusion.
Re: (Day Two) Living Thread: Payne's Worst Game of MafiaTopic%20Title
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Pierre wrote:
Alternatively you could be a Maf who doesn't care about winning anymore and just wants to screw everything up for the Townies by outing yourself from the game early and leaving them to bicker in paranoia about how the Maf is.

I'm pretty sure that would be violating MAMA.

Quote:
I will always pursue the victory of my faction. I will not knowingly and/or willingly assist other factions, unless it does not interfere with my chances of victory. I will make no attempts, through any action or inaction, to knowingly hinder the efforts of others within my faction to achieve victory.

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Re: (Day Two) Living Thread: Payne's Worst Game of MafiaTopic%20Title
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Good then I don't need to be paranoid.
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Re: (Day Two) Living Thread: Payne's Worst Game of MafiaTopic%20Title
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Anyway, while things are quiet, going to advertise the VSM version of this round (same as this one, just... different place).

So if you feel like playing this exact game at the same time as this game, feel free to get an account (if you haven't already) and sign up at this thread:
http://www.vendetta-strada.net/showthre ... #pid183045
Re: (Day Two) Living Thread: Payne's Worst Game of MafiaTopic%20Title
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Speaking of other games I'm actually really excited for JM's next updated version of the Nonary Game. That sounds awesome.
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Re: (Day Two) Living Thread: Payne's Worst Game of MafiaTopic%20Title
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Pierre wrote:
Speaking of other games I'm actually really excited for JM's next updated version of the Nonary Game. That sounds awesome.

same here...was kinda sad i missed my chance to join the last game and hope i wont miss it next time.
Re: (Day Two) Living Thread: Payne's Worst Game of MafiaTopic%20Title
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Vote tally's still the same. Reposting it so it's easier to find forty minutes from now.

genodragon1 wrote:
Vote Tally

No Lynch: 5
JesusMonroe
Cold52
FranziseDeauxnim
Sumguy
cesar26100

JesusMonroe: 0
FranziseDeauxnim

Death Row: No one.

Day Two Victory Log:
JesusMonroe claims victory.
JesusMonroe recanted.

Re: (Day Two) Living Thread: Payne's Worst Game of MafiaTopic%20Title
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Vote Tally

No Lynch: 5
JesusMonroe
Cold52
FranziseDeauxnim
Sumguy
cesar26100

JesusMonroe: 0
FranziseDeauxnim

Death Row: No one.

Day Two Victory Log:
JesusMonroe claims victory.
JesusMonroe recanted.

A peaceful day two...
Hot sun out: forgot bald spot
Has weakness. I'm burned.
- Winston Payne.



NIGHT TWO HAS BEGUN.
Re: (Night Two) Living Thread: Payne's Worst Game of MafiaTopic%20Title
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Geno, if Lettuce protects someone who isn't targeted to die, does he still die? If Oldbag protects the mafia, does it block their hit request?
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Re: (Night Two) Living Thread: Payne's Worst Game of MafiaTopic%20Title
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damn these double posts
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Re: (Night Two) Living Thread: Payne's Worst Game of MafiaTopic%20Title
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Franzise Deauxnim wrote:
Geno, if Lettuce protects someone who isn't targeted to die, does he still die? If Oldbag protects the mafia, does it block their hit request?


- Nope. LeTouse only dies in place of another player slated to die.
- Oldbag blocks hit requests.
Re: (Night Two) Living Thread: Payne's Worst Game of MafiaTopic%20Title
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And I'm guessing we can't post between the time the phase end notice goes up and the results are posted, right?
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I think you can post--you just can't do any power role actions or voting
Re: (Night Two) Living Thread: Payne's Worst Game of MafiaTopic%20Title
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JesusMonroe wrote:
I think you can post--you just can't do any power role actions or voting


This. I could enforce something along the lines of what you said, Franzy, but... meh, I don't think you guys'll abuse my trust. Not like you could with no affiliation flips, short of breaking MAMA.
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Nnn...I was thinking of making a suggestion, but there's still too many variables. I'll just wait to see how the phase change plays out.
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Re: (Day Three) Living Thread: Payne's Worst Game of MafiaTopic%20Title
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Sorry for the late phase change, everyone. I've not been feeling well. Spent most of today sleeping.

FranziseDeauxnim has died.

BlueJaythePirate has returned to life!

DAY THREE HAS BEGUN!
Reminder: Due to the No Lynch last night, there must be a lynch today.

Re: (Day Three) Living Thread: Payne's Worst Game of MafiaTopic%20Title
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Hey guys, miss me?

So, look like we're officially dealing with the Mafia role, now confirmed to be Morgan.
Actually, I'm not really sure if the person who revived me is with the town or the Mafia. This is a bit confusing, that much I can know. :eh?:
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Or it's Sister Bikini for town. I mean, why would Morgan revive you?

Everybody get posting. One inactive is one thing but I can't read shit with sumguy/cold/cesar, except for a slight town lean on cold
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well then we can now be sure the mafia person is still alive, and we very likely have sister bikini
(while it could be morgan i dont see a good reason in this game to bring people back).

we confirmed 2 members who are 100% town, those being bluejay and franzise

this leaves 5 possible people 2 of which have a role
(unless franzise was sister bikini and was killed while also reviving someone...unsure if possible).

Pierre unconfirmed...active in topic
sumguy28 unconfirmed...not active
cold52 unconfirmed
Franzise Deauxnim TOWN
cesar21600 unconfirmed...not active
JesusMonroe unconfirmed...active in topic
BlueJaythePirate TOWN

right now whats important is getting those who are not active to start participating in the topic as im more suspicious of how inactive they have been and hope they can contribute so i can get a better idea of who i think is suspicious.
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To be honest, I probably won't be able to be fully active in this game until Monday 3 PM EST. This game of mafia just happened to coincide with a group presentation. Though from what I've seen, I haven't picked up on anything useful.
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Re: (Day Three) Living Thread: Payne's Worst Game of MafiaTopic%20Title
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Both Cold52 and JesusMonroe got excellent points about the town power role being Sister Bikini. I can't imagine Morgan reviving me, if she knows that I'm town (Cold52 is correct about my role.).

Hmmm... I can't imagine that one of the least active players is Mafia. What if both of the least active players are both town? What if one of the active players is Mafia? It's something to think about.
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Ami, if Diego was mislynched by the town and then revived by Morgan, would he become Godot?
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JesusMonroe wrote:
Ami, if Diego was mislynched by the town and then revived by Morgan, would he become Godot?


No.
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BlueJaythePirate wrote:
Both Cold52 and JesusMonroe got excellent points about the town power role being Sister Bikini. I can't imagine Morgan reviving me, if she knows that I'm town (Cold52 is correct about my role.).

Hmmm... I can't imagine that one of the least active players is Mafia. What if both of the least active players are both town? What if one of the active players is Mafia? It's something to think about.


Well nothing is for sure unless someone slips up while they are talking but those who never talk or contribute just cross their arms and sit suspiciously in the shadows.

In any case good thing you didn't declare victory.

Vote: Sumguy

Before my understanding was Doc was a decidedly separate role from anything we had but if sister bikini revived someone and they were the target of a hit the same night what would the outcome be? Would they die and come back to life or just die or would it just count as them being protected?
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Re: (Day Three) Living Thread: Payne's Worst Game of MafiaTopic%20Title
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Hmmm...

Let's consider the probabilities of sumguy28 being Mafia or town. And also, take in the fact that the Mafia may kill somebody during Night 3. (The keyword being "may".)

Now, the probabilities would be something like this:

Sumguy28 flips Mafia and no death occurred during the night phrase.
Sumguy28 flips town and death occurs during the night phrase.
Sumguy28 flips Mafia and death occurs during the night phrase.
Sumguy28 flips town and no death occurs during the night phrase.

We can rule out "lynched player being Mafia and death occurs during Night phrase" because we're dealing with just one Mafia.

Sumguy28 flips Mafia and no death occurred during the night phrase.
Sumguy28 flips town and death occurs during the night phrase.
Sumguy28 flips Mafia and death occurs during the night phrase.
Sumguy28 flips town and no death occurs during the night phrase.

However, since there are three probabilities left. The percentage for each probability would be 33%. (Similar to the three doors problem, if you know what I mean.)
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If you're gonna vote for an inactive, Cesar is probably the better choice
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JesusMonroe wrote:
If you're gonna vote for an inactive, Cesar is probably the better choice

Why's that?
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Cause you're barely even trying, which ironically seems less scummy to me.

As for Cold, I have a slight town-read on him
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Sorry for being inactive,surgeries aren't a pretty thing and I have been very tired lately.
So we got some info during Night 2:

-BlueJay is definetly vanilla town

-So is Franzise,unless power roles take effect even if you die during that same night (Unlikely)
-Unless scum is Morgan and is playing some crazy gambit then Sister Bikini is definitely in the game.
-There's still one mafioso alive.

I am still confident JM is town,since he seemed like he honestly didn't know whether the victory claims took effect immediately or not.

So that leaves Cold,Pierre and sumguy as suspects.I would like some more of sumguy and Cold
before I make a read.
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cesar26100 wrote:
Sorry for being inactive,surgeries aren't a pretty thing and I have been very tired lately.
So we got some info during Night 2:

-BlueJay is definetly vanilla town

-So is Franzise,unless power roles take effect even if you die during that same night (Unlikely)
-Unless scum is Morgan and is playing some crazy gambit then Sister Bikini is definitely in the game.
-There's still one mafioso alive.

I am still confident JM is town,since he seemed like he honestly didn't know whether the victory claims took effect immediately or not.

So that leaves Cold,Pierre and sumguy as suspects.I would like some more of sumguy and Cold
before I make a read.


You forgot yourself.
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My suspects.Of course other people can suspect me,and as I said JM isn't objectively clean,he is just a town read I have.
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JM's clean in my book too, the ambiguity about how Victory declaration played out means he was prepared to die for town...or he was at least violating the Mama as Mafia by risking suicide.

Which I guess means if he's Mafia, the amount of people he's convinced mean we've already lost but oh well, lets roll on. I know I'm in the clear, whether you believe that or not I can't help which means it's down to the less active members.

Might it be worth having the power role announce themselves now? If they do then we can boil this down to a war of attrition since we would have three believable town on the cards.
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I am not sure about claiming,unless I misunderstood something the mafia will kill someone the moment they claim right?

While we can't do anything about night hits,we have to be careful with lynching right now.I think there's a possibility that the least active members may be power roles,trying to not screw up and get themselves killed.
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My thinking was people could claim, then we'd have another confirmed town.

That makes:
JM (generally approved of, probably will never get a majority lynch the way it is)
Bluejay
Our claimant.

Against three others.

If someone attempts to counterclaim, then one of them is clearly lying and they narrow our odds down to 50/50.
We only need one of them to survive to for town to win.

Outcomes:
Two people claim. Both are lynched on the next two nights. Either someone played very stupid or someone played very stupid and we win. Vanilla townies gain nothing by claiming here.

One person claims: The claimant might not survive the night but provided we lynch anyone EXCEPT the three approved townies considering our lynch goes first odds are at the end of the day we'll take them out before they win.
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We could lynch an uncertainty like Cesar today. During the night, scum will either choose to kill or not kill. If scum kills, that means cesar is definitely town and can be revived, making him a certainty.

If there is no kill, we can either no-lynch or lynch on D4. I'd prefer lynching because there are two outcomes:

a) The scum is alive and HAS to kill someone on N3. If this happens, the two people we lynched are in the clear and can be revived safely
b) The scum is already dead and town wins!

Alternatively, if we no-lynch on D4 then the scum still has to lynch someone and that just clears whoever we lynch during this phase

Of course, the plan isn't so cut and dry. It's possible we accidentally lynch the power role (so if one of cesar/sumguy/cold want to definitively say that they are NOT the power role and would like to volunteer to be lynched...)
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There's also the chance we lynch Cesar and the Mafia hit the power role meaning it's all just a bunch of losses as we wouldn't get Cesar back.
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That plan sounds way too risky...if the power role dies then having confirmed townies will be no use.
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